njt.livelive · updated 15 s ago

NY Penn platform prediction

How this works

NJ Transit posts the track about ten minutes before departure and the crowd stampedes. Each platform serves a pair of tracks (1/2, 3/4 …), so if you know the platform you can be at the right stairs before the crowd. njt.live predicts the platform for every departure from what each train has done over the last 30 days combined with what is happening at the station right now; when the picture is clear enough it names the exact track (Firm). Every prediction is scored afterwards against the track the train actually left from — the numbers below are that record, not a promise.

100 of 100firm calls right, last 100
39 of 100likely right, last 100
40 of 100guesses right, last 100

Departing next

DepartsTrainRecordPredicted platformPostedStatus
5:38 PMNEC 3727 New York → Jersey Avenue60%13boarding
5:41 PMNEC 3953 New York → Trenton80%2boarding
5:43 PMNJCL 3513 New York → South Amboy65%10boarding
5:46 PMNJCL 3267 New York → Long Branch60%7/8 Likely usual 9/10 takennot postedscheduled
5:55 PMNEC 3957 New York → Trenton80%12 Firmnot postedscheduled
6:00 PMNEC 3873 New York → Trenton55%13/14 Guessnot postedscheduled
6:07 PMNJCL 3373 New York → Bay Head70%9/10 Guessnot postedscheduled
6:10 PMNEC 3875 New York → Trenton55%1/2 Likelynot postedscheduled
6:41 PMNEC 3961 New York → Trenton85%1/2 Guessnot postedscheduled
6:45 PMNJCL 3515 New York → South Amboy75%3/4 Guessnot postedscheduled
6:48 PMNJCL 3275 New York → Long Branch30%3/4 Guessnot postedscheduled
6:55 PMNEC 3877 New York → Trenton55%1/2 Likelynot postedscheduled
7:03 PMNJCL 3279 New York → Long Branch45%1/2 Guessnot postednot posted yet
7:05 PMNEC 3963 New York → Trenton85%3/4 Likelynot postednot posted yet
7:13 PMNEC 3879 New York → Trenton85%1/2 Guessnot postednot posted yet

20 more departures later today; they appear here two hours ahead.

Three tiers. Firm names the exact track. Likely is the most common platform (track pair) over the train's runs in the last 30 days when it was used in at least half of 3+ runs (green where it left from there in 75% of them, amber below). Guess is the same figure with too few runs or no clear favourite (dashed). Within 15 minutes of departure the tracks in use count too: a track posted for another train is all but ruled out, one a train left in the last 10 minutes is unlikely, and the best-scoring platform is shown instead (marked usual N taken).

Tracks taken right now: 2 3953 boarding · 4 left 6 min ago · 10 3513 boarding · 13 3727 boarding